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As I explain in my new book Freedom Fortress, which will come out in January, if you look at the facts, stats, and data, there are about 27 major reasons why the USA is collapsing and will collapse in your lifetime.

The biggest, number one reason for American collapse, bigger than any other reason you can find (of which there are many) is that the US government spends too much money. This overspending leads to increased debt, inflation, taxes, corruption, damage to the culture, more wars (which then leads to more spending and terrorism), reduced freedom for individuals, and a host of other negatives.

The problem is that government spending grows every year, with every single president, including Trump.

The even bigger problem is that, because the Overton Window in the USA has shifted to the economic left over the last 25 years, Americans really don’t mind this growth in government spending, including Trump supporters. They see government spending and the national debt increase, then just shrug and go back to arguing about transgender shit.

This is why the combined spending of federal, state, and local governments in the USA is now a staggering $10 trillion a year, far greater than any other nation or empire in all of human history. If you’re an American, a hilarious 37% of your entire annual GDP is eaten up by government spending like Pac-Man. And this increases every year. And no one cares.

I’ve used this analogy in the past to demonstrate Americans’ addiction to big government. If you’re an American, pretend there’s a big red button standing before you. If you press this button, it will instantly cut 50% of all government spending in the United States. Every department across the board will be instantly cut by 50%; welfare spending, congressional salaries, the military, the EPA, everything.

Knowing that government overspending is the number one reason for your beloved country collapsing right before your eyes, would you press this button?

If you’re a modern-day American, the answer is no, you probably wouldn’t. Even if you’re a hardcore Trump supporter who hates wokeism.

You’d start to get nervous, come up with some excuse, mumble something about the one or two parts of government you like, and then slowly back away from the button in fear.

That’s why your country is collapsing.

I’m a minarchist libertarian, a real one, so I would not only press that button, shit, I would press it twice.

I’d knock that $10 trillion a year down to $5 trillion, then press it again and knock it down to $2.5 trillion. Then I would stop and evaluate, looking for more ways we can cut spending so that the people of America can be prosperous, free, and happy like they were many decades ago when their government was much smaller.

But that’s me, and virtually no Americans are like me anymore. That’s why I don’t live in America anymore.

This all brings us to the recent Trump win, Elon Musk, and this pretend department that doesn’t exist called the Department Of Government Efficiency or DOGE. Millions of delusional Trump supporters are now convinced that Elon is going to actually go into the federal government and start cutting costs in any significant manner. (The same way they thought Trump was going to Build The Wall, Lock Her Up, and all of the other promises he made the first time and never followed through on; Trump supporters have such brief memory spans.)

This is not going to happen. I’ll tell you exactly what’s going to happen instead. Yes, this is an on-the-record prediction, you can quote me on this, because I’m going to be right.

Trump/Elon/DOGE will do what most new Republican administrations do, including what Trump did in 2017. The first year in office, 2025 in this case, they will indeed make various little cuts in various little useless departments in the federal government. At the end of the first year or so, they’re going to hold some kind of photo-op press event and show everyone how many cuts they made, what a great job they’re doing, how they believe in limited government and more freedom for the people. Rah-rah, yay.

Then, while you’re paying attention to that jingling shiny object in their right hand and telling people like me, “See Caleb? He DID cut government spending!”, at the same time and over the next several years, with their left hand, they’re going to jack UP government spending by hundreds of billions and even trillions of dollars in other areas. Then once Trump leaves office, overall government spending and the federal debt will be trillions of dollars higher than they were before he started.

And again, most Trump supporters won’t care. And the collapse of America will accelerate.

And hey, that’s if everything goes well. If there is some kind of big crisis in the next four years (economic crash, war, another pandemic, whatever) this increase, which would have happened anyway, will be put on steroids, and be made even larger. Then four years later after the $10 trillion-a-year government is now a $15-a-year government, government-loving Americans, including Trump supporters, will make more excuses. “Well, we had to increase government spending and print up trillions of dollars we don’t have causing massive inflation and a future collapse, because of this big crisis we had.”

Rational people like me will respond, “No you didn’t.” (For example, Trump didn’t need to print up $6 trillion out of thin air during the pandemic. The elites did that to protect the elites, not because it would help you or me.) And again, the collapse of the USA will accelerate yet again.

I’ll show you how serious I am about this. On January 20^th, 2025, when Trump becomes President and when the Republicans take control of the House and Senate, I’m going to publish a single image on all of my social media platforms. It will simply show four big numbers: annual federal spending, the federal debt, the federal deficit, and government spending as a percentage of GDP. Then I’m going to leave four blank spots for those same numbers exactly two years later, January 20^th, 2027, and I’m going to say that these four numbers will increase. Because that’s what modern-day right-wingers and Republicans always do when they control the government: they skyrocket spending.

Two years later I will post that same image again, this time with the new four numbers now filled in, and all four of these numbers will show that, indeed, they will have all increased, exactly as I said they would. Even with Elon and DOGE.

Just to make it fun, I’ll put at the bottom of the image a statement like “And if your response to this is ‘Kamala would have been worse,’ then thank you, you just proved my point.” The point being that the USA is going to collapse in your lifetime regardless of who you vote for or how excited you get about Trump or any other candidate or president.

Just watch. I’ll be right about this. (Again.) And the Trump worshippers will be wrong. (Again.)

Then I’ll ask all of the people who are pointing out Elon/DOGE right now, “Hey guys, I’m so confused, I thought Elon/DOGE was supposed to cut government spending. So what happened? Hmmmmmmmm????”

And just like when I pointed out Trump didn’t build the wall, didn’t lock her up, didn’t bring back the manufacturing jobs, etc, people will either make excuses, default back to lesser-evilism (“Kamala would have been worse!!!”), or just quickly ignore it, moving on to whatever irrelevant political argument will be popular in 2027 (like transgender shit or race-swapping in movies), and the collapse of the USA will accelerate. Again.

Look, I don’t like being constantly right about this Western collapse stuff. I’d rather you just take action and protect yourself instead of constantly worshipping Messiahs. It’s part of my life Mission to help you.

If you live in the Collapsing USA, please, for the love of god, set up a location-independent business and either move out of the Collapsing USA or at the very least, set up an international backup plan so you have somewhere to go when the USA finally collapses, which it will in your lifetime.

The Trump win has blinded many of you. You’re in much bigger trouble than you think.

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