I know articles like this upset my more right-winged readership, but my job here is to convey to you how the world really is, based on the available empirical facts and evidence, rather than how you think the world should be.
When leftists say irrational shit, I call them out on it. Back in 2012, when they were all screaming that Obama “kicked Romney’s ass,” I had to correct them by saying Obama barely won; he literally beat Romney by less than one percent in three states. That’s not kicking anyone’s ass, liberals.
So when conservatives say irrational shit, I will call them out on it too. That will be today.
When Trump was elected, I made the prediction that 10 years from now:
1. The US will have even more debt, both governmental and private (unless Trump somehow defaults on US debt).
2. The US federal government will be spending even more money.
3. The US economy will not be improved significantly from 2016 levels.
4. The flood of incoming third world immigrants will continue at more or less current rate and they will continue to receive taxpayer funded government services.
In other words, in the long run, Trump won’t make any positive difference in the biggest areas the right and alt-right are excited about (and me as well).
The assumption of many conservatives and Republicans is that because Trump has been elected president (and also because of Brexit, and perhaps the recent no vote in the Italian referendum), the Western world has now suddenly shifted from the left to the right, and now right-wingers will steer society.
This is incorrect. The US and Europe are still left-wing societies that will continue to move further left over the next several decades. Because of this, Trump not only can’t (and/or won’t) stop it, but he’ll barely put a dent in it.
Here’s some hard, empirical evidence that backs up what I’m saying:
1. Trump got around the same number of votes as Romney and McCain. Trump got 62.3 million votes, Romney got 60.9, McCain got 59.9. There was no massive upswing of right-wing voters who never voted for the establishment and were rising to take their country back. The people who voted for Trump were, by and large, the same Republicans and right-leaning folks who voted for the last two establishment Republican candidates.
2. The Lizard Queen got fewer votes than Obama, across all demographics the Democrats pander to:
– 54% of women voted for Hillary, 55% voted for Obama
– 55% of young people (under 30) voted for Hillary, 60% voted for Obama (this alone likely explains why Trump got Florida and Pennsylvania; states he absolutely needed in order to win)
– 88% of blacks voted for Hillary, 93% voted for Obama
– 65% of Hispanics voted for Hillary, 71% voted for Obama
If you combine this with Trump’s Romney-like numbers, it means that Trump didn’t win the election because the right wing rose up and defeated the left. Instead, the right wing did what it always did and the left wing was so disgusted by Hillary that many of them stayed home.
I actually predicated that aspect incorrectly. I’ve never seen the left do this. I’ve talked before how the left tends to mobilize in ways the right usually does not. This time around, Hillary was such a terrible candidate that the trend broke. The Lizard Queen was seriously the worst candidate that the Democratic Party has run since perhaps Walter Mondale back in 1984. That means you have to go back 32 years to find a candidate that might have been worse than Hillary. (Honestly, what the fuck were you Democrats thinking, voting for this monster? Idiots.)
3. As the left-wing media keeps screaming, Trump lost the popular vote. Over 2.5 million more voters voted for Hillary than for Trump. That’s not a small number. It’s true that as a percentage of votes, it’s not huge. It’s also true that our electoral system is so corrupt and inaccurate that we don’t really know what the “popular vote” actually represents. Regardless, given these results, you have a tough case to make if you are saying that America is turning back to the right when the fucking Lizard Queen got more votes than Trump.
4. Trump was at a 60 unfavorable rating on Election Day. This is, by far, the highest negative rating of any elected president on that day in recorded history. Tell me again how America has experienced a conservative revolution?
5. Trump got 302 electoral votes. That sounds like a lot, but it isn’t. Regan got 525 in 1984, and 485 in 1980. Even George H.W. Bush (the elder) got a staggering 426 votes in 1988. Once again, I don’t see a right-wing revolution here.
6. I saved the most important for last. Trump got 74 more electoral votes than Hillary. Again, that sounds impressive until you dig into the numbers and look at how he won those 74.
He won Florida (29 votes) by just 1.3%. He won Pennsylvania (20) by 1.1%. He won both Wisconsin (10) and Michigan (16) by under 1%. There’s your 75 votes.
So just like Obama barely squeaked a victory over Romney in 2012, Trump barely squeaked a victory over one of the worst Democrat candidates in history by 1.5% or less, in just four states.
Nothing in America has changed, my conservative friends. We have not moved to the right. Hey, if America was truly moving to a smaller government mindset, no one would be happier than me, but that just isn’t the case. Calm your emotions and look at the facts. The US is still a near 50/50 divided nation that leans heavily left. These numbers clearly show this. Moreover, they also indicate that Trump would likely have lost to just about any other Democrat candidate, including Bernie Sanders.
Think about that.
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