The stock market continues to crash, over 3000 points over the last few weeks, apparently sending Tantrum Trump into a rage. And the volatility will continue.
A few basics about the US stock market that most normal people don’t understand.
1. The stock market is not a reflection upon how well or how badly the economy is doing. What people call the “stock market” is instead just an index called the Dow Industrial Average of 30 giant, corporatist companies like Apple, Disney, IBM, and so forth. That’s it.
It also only reflects the stock price of these companies, not how profitable they are, how well capitalized they are, how much they’re hiring, and so forth. Therefore, the stock market doesn’t at all reflect how well the average Joe on the street is doing, and frankly, it’s quite silly and ignorant to think so.
2. The stock market is in a bubble right now.
The reason the stock market has been doing so well over the last few years (under both Pussy Barack and Tantrum Trump) is not because these companies are doing well. Instead, it’s because of artificially low interest rates. Our corporatist government entities have set interest rates very low, so these giant corporatist companies can borrow money to buy back their own stock. This raises the stock price and makes CEOs and upper-level VPs very rich, but it doesn’t help anyone else.
Eventually, interest rates will either rise or these companies won’t be able to keep buying back their own stock. This is when the stock market will crash, and crash quite horribly.
I have no idea when this will happen, but I know it will happen. This is why I have zero money in the US stock market right now. I only like to buy low. Instead of buying stocks, where they are in a bubble-high, I actually just purchased a bunch of silver, which is getting absolutely hammered this year and is very, very low. I’m going to make a lot of money on this in the next few years while everyone else will be screaming about how much money they lost in the stock market.
Buying low is smart. Buying high is stupid.
3. The President has virtually nothing to do with how well, or how badly the stock market is doing.
When the stock market was booming in its false bubble under Pussy Barack, all the left-wingers praised him and the right-wingers (including Trump) attacked him for presiding over a stock market bubble. The split second Tantrum Trump was elected president, both sides switched. Right-wingers immediately praised Tantrum Trump as some kind of economic genius for the rising stock market, and left-wingers attacked him for the stock market being a bubble.
This goes to show how completely and utterly full of shit both the left and right are, but I digress.
In both cases, neither president had anything to do with it (other than very brief, momentary fluctuations that always course-correct within a few days). The president doesn’t really have the power to single-handedly influence the immediate stock market in any real way, and anyone who tells you otherwise is either economically ignorant or being biased and irrational.
4. It’s true that the US stock market has always increased over time, but this will not always be true.
Defenders of the stock market point to stock market charts going back 100 years, and note the upward trend for that time. They’re absolutely right. The stock market has done quite well over the past 100 years while America was on the rise.
But, as financial institutions always disclaim, past performance does not indicate future results. Just because the stock market did well over the past 100 while America was on the rise does not mean it will do well over the next 100 years as America continues its cultural and economic decline.
It was a fantastic idea to invest in the stock market for the long haul back in the 1920s, 1950s, or 1970s. Absolutely. But is it a good idea to invest in the stock market now if you want to retire on that money 30 or 40 years from now?
I could be wrong because no one can tell the future, but I don’t think so. I see zero economic indicators showing that America will be doing better financially 40 years from now than today, and tons of them that show quite the opposite. What goes up must come down and nothing goes up forever, including and especially vast, over-extended empires like the United States.
I have no money invested in any American stocks, and I don’t plan on doing so at any time in the future (outside of perhaps some quick in-and-out speculations). I’m not saying you shouldn’t invest in the stock market; it’s your money and you should do whatever you want. I’m just giving you my viewpoint based on the vast amount of data in front of me, and that is that the US stock market will not do well either in the short-term or the long-term.
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